FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 23:30 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
USD/CHF finishes the week on a lower note, down 0.87% for the week and 0.27% in the day, as markets turn optimistic about a possible US-Iran deal over the weekend.
FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 19:20 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
Christopher Waller, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), speaks about the economic outlook and monetary policy at Auburn University in Alabama on Friday. He stated that the break-even rate for the job market is currently likely around zero.
ForexLive
17 Apr 2026, 19:19 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
If war creates high inflation, weak labor market, could call for holding rates steadyThe longer Middle East war remains unresolved, inflation and job risks increaseHigh inflation, weak job market would be challenging for FedMarch headline PCE inflation likely to hit 3.5% year over yearPossible energy price surge could have lasting inflation impactMarkets appeared to have undervalued risk of extended conflictWill be closely watching how inflation expectations react to conflictIf swift resolution ...
FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 18:45 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
The Swiss Franc (CHF) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/CHF on track for a second consecutive weekly decline as the Greenback remains under pressure amid improving market sentiment on hopes of a potential US-Iran deal.
FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 18:11 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco, spoke at the University of California-Berkeley's Fisher Center on Friday. She indicated that, at this point, she is observing whether higher oil prices are affecting the prices of other goods and services.
ForexLive
17 Apr 2026, 16:46 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
Absence of immigration really matters, as does investment in technologiesRight now making up low labor force growth by higher productivity growthZero job growth might be new steady stateHeading toward zero labor force growth based on demographicsOutlook depends on how long rise in oil prices, how long conflict will persistThose are strong pillarsConsumers nervous about economy, but spendingBusinesses cautiously optimisticDaly is leaning into the "structural" argument hard. When a Fed official st...
FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 13:13 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Nordea analysts Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich argue that higher energy and commodity prices, together with tight labour markets and solid demand, make Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts unlikely.
FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 12:58 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
The USD/CHF pair trades 0.15% lower at around 0.7825 during the European trading session on Friday. The Swiss Franc pair faces selling pressure as optimism towards a permanent ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran has diminished the appeal of safe-haven assets.
ForexLive
17 Apr 2026, 09:30 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Rate cuts by year-endFed: 10 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting)Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 75 bps (69% probability of no change at the next meeting)ECB: 54 bps (79% probability of no change at the next meeting)RBA: 54 bps (78% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 46 bps (85% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoE: 35 bps (91% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 33 bps (96% probability of no change at the next meeting)SNB: 16 bps (92% proba...
ForexLive
17 Apr 2026, 06:44 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% on March 18 by an 11–1 vote. The decision was expected, but the message shook Wall Street: the Dow plunged more than 750 points after Chair Jerome Powell admitted the Fed had “not made as much progress on inflation as hoped” and called the economic effects of the Iran conflict “uncertain.” The updated projections painted a complicated picture. The Fed raised its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and its inflation outlook to 2.7...
FXStreet Forex
17 Apr 2026, 04:26 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
USD/CHF moves little after two days of gains, trading around 0.7830 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair steadies as traders adopt caution on uncertainty over US–Iran peace deal discussions.
ForexLive
16 Apr 2026, 22:36 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
RBC expects global central banks to largely hold rates despite oil-driven inflation risks, with policymakers prioritising growth concerns, while the RBA remains an outlier with further tightening likely.Summary:RBC expects major central banks to hold rates despite oil-driven inflation risks Energy shock seen as dampening growth, reducing urgency to hike Fed, BoC, ECB, and BoE all expected to stay on hold through 2026 RBA seen as the outlier, with further tightening likely Inflation expectations ...
ForexLive
16 Apr 2026, 21:36 GMT
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Trump announces Isreal and Lebanon ceasefireTrump says Iran meeting could be on weekend; Netanyahu confirms Lebanon ceasefireUS initial jobless claims 207K vs 215K expectedUS April Philly Fed business index +26.7 vs +10.0 expectedGulf and European officials expect the US to take six months for an Iran dealFed's Miran: I would pencil in 3 rate cuts this year versus 4 before the warFed's Williams: At this moment, not appropriate to provide specific forward guidanceUS March industrial production -0...
FXStreet Forex
16 Apr 2026, 16:15 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
Stephen Miran, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), spoke in a moderated discussion about the United States (US) monetary policy at the Reinventing Bretton Woods Committee Global Macro Sessions in Washington, DC, on Thursday.
ForexLive
16 Apr 2026, 16:03 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
If you’ve been using AI lately, you know the discourse. It’s been a frustrating few weeks for the power users and there’s a growing chorus on Reddit and X that the latest updates from Google and Anthropic have been “nerfed”—shaved down at the edges, made more cautious, and frankly, a bit dumber in the name of safety and "alignment." I fully agree with this assessment as someone who uses them daily and can't believe how dome Gemini in particular has gotten.Both Anthropic and Google ha...
