FXStreet Forex
5 Jun 2026, 15:37 GMT
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Nomura analysts expects the European Central Bank's (ECB) June macroeconomic projections to incorporate higher market rate assumptions and exclude May Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP) data.
FXStreet Forex
5 Jun 2026, 15:01 GMT
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Kristian Nummelin at Nordea expects the European Central Bank to hike rates next week as elevated inflation and strong core momentum keep price pressures in focus. Markets are pricing a similar outcome.
FXStreet Forex
5 Jun 2026, 14:47 GMT
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TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects the ECB to raise the deposit rate to 2.25% in response to persistently high energy prices.
FXStreet Forex
5 Jun 2026, 13:16 GMT
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Nomura’s Andrzej Szczepaniak and team expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to begin a recalibration phase at the 11 June meeting, with a 25bp hike in the depo rate to 2.25%.
ForexLive
5 Jun 2026, 12:43 GMT
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Headlines:Another episode of the boy who cried wolf set to air later today?Explosion halts crude loading at Oman's Mina al Fahal in conflict escalationAmerica still refuses Iran's request to unfreeze the frozen funds - Al ArabiyaSemiconductors continue to struggle ahead of the Wall Street openWhat is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?What are analysts expecting from the US jobs report later today?How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's event?Euro area economic gr...
ForexLive
5 Jun 2026, 12:07 GMT
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Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 71 bps (71% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 64 bps (98% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 43 bps (81% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoE: 41 bps (92% probability of no change at the next meeting)RBA: 23 bps (93% probability of no change at the next meeting)Fed: 16 bps (92% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 15 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting)SNB: 13 bps (99% probability of no change a...
FXStreet Forex
5 Jun 2026, 10:54 GMT
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The Euro (EUR) is going through a solid recovery against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, reaching levels a few pips shy of 1.1650 at the time of writing.
ForexLive
5 Jun 2026, 10:00 GMT
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Q1 final GDP -0.2% vs +0.1% q/q second estimatePrior +0.2%That's not a good look with the revision putting the overall euro area growth in the first quarter into negative territory. That marks a contraction to start the year with another set to follow this quarter amid the fallout from the Middle East conflict.A technical recession looms but it comes with a bit of a caveat. The first quarter estimate here is heavily influenced by a sharp drop in Ireland's GDP. While only accounting for a small w...
FXStreet Forex
5 Jun 2026, 07:52 GMT
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OCBC’s FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong highlights a weaker Swiss Franc as EUR/CHF drifts higher from 0.91 support, reflecting widening rate disadvantages and the SNB’s active resistance to currency strength.
ForexLive
5 Jun 2026, 07:31 GMT
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EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than a couple of low tier releases like the final Eurozone Q1 GDP report and Italian Retail Sales. The data is not going to change anything for the ECB, so the market reaction will likely be muted. AMERICAN SESSIONIn the American session, we have the Canadian Employment report and the US NFP. The Canadian data is expected to show 10K jobs added in May vs -17.7K in April, and the Unemployment Rate to remain unchanged ...
FXStreet Forex
4 Jun 2026, 14:36 GMT
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Nordea economists Jan von Gerich and Tuuli Koivu expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates by 25bp at the June meeting and signal a hawkish stance without firm pre-commitments.
FXStreet Forex
4 Jun 2026, 13:35 GMT
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Societe Generale’s Anatoli Annenkov expects the ECB to deliver a 25bp risk-dependent insurance hike from a neutral stance, stressing data-dependency and trade-offs from early action.
ForexLive
4 Jun 2026, 13:19 GMT
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Headlines:Trump: The US is in the middle of final negotiations to end the Iran warIsraeli military warns that the fighting in southern Lebanon continuesAI drives tech sector to cut jobs by the most since 2023BOJ reportedly expected to raise interest rates later this month - reportRBA governor Bullock: We expect inflation to increase further in the near-termEuro area retail sales fall in April, challenging outlook aheadGerman construction activity experiences another steep rate of decline in MayU...
FXStreet Forex
4 Jun 2026, 12:50 GMT
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Danske Research Team expects the ECB to raise its deposit rate by 25bp to 2.25% on June 11, in line with market pricing and consensus. They highlight upside surprises in core inflation and higher Oil futures, alongside weaker Euro area growth.
FXStreet Forex
4 Jun 2026, 11:55 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
The Euro (EUR) is rallying against a weaker US Dollar (USD) in Thursday’s European trading session, reversing Wednesday’s losses and returning to the 1.3630 area at the time of writing.