EUR/JPY News & Analysis
Live updates, breaking news, and economic events affecting the euro yen exchange rate. Last updated: 5 Jun 2026, 23:16 GMT
Current EUR/JPY Rate
184.7758
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High Impact News (Last 24 Hours)
Euro: ECB hiking cycle seen extending to 3% – Nordea
Kristian Nummelin at Nordea expects the European Central Bank to hike rates next week as elevated inflation and strong core momentum keep price pressures in focus. Markets are pricing a similar outcome.
investingLive European markets wrap: A mixed mood waiting on NFP, US-Iran developments
Headlines:Another episode of the boy who cried wolf set to air later today?Explosion halts crude loading at Oman's Mina al Fahal in conflict escalationAmerica still refuses Iran's request to unfreeze the frozen funds - Al ArabiyaSemiconductors continue to struggle ahead of the Wall Street openWhat is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?What are analysts expecting from the US jobs report later today?How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's event?Euro area economic gr...
How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's event?
Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 71 bps (71% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 64 bps (98% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 43 bps (81% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoE: 41 bps (92% probability of no change at the next meeting)RBA: 23 bps (93% probability of no change at the next meeting)Fed: 16 bps (92% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 15 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting)SNB: 13 bps (99% probability of no change a...
Euro appreciates against US Dollar despite downbeat Eurozone GDP dataÂ
The Euro (EUR) is going through a solid recovery against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, reaching levels a few pips shy of 1.1650 at the time of writing.
Euro area economic growth revised down to reflect a contraction in Q1 2026
Q1 final GDP -0.2% vs +0.1% q/q second estimatePrior +0.2%That's not a good look with the revision putting the overall euro area growth in the first quarter into negative territory. That marks a contraction to start the year with another set to follow this quarter amid the fallout from the Middle East conflict.A technical recession looms but it comes with a bit of a caveat. The first quarter estimate here is heavily influenced by a sharp drop in Ireland's GDP. While only accounting for a small w...
Latest EUR/JPY News
Deutsche Bank analysts underscore that stronger Japanese wage data and resilient household spending are reinforcing expectations for Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening. Real and nominal wages are rising at the fastest pace since 2024, with futures pricing a high probability of a June hike.
Nomura analysts expects the European Central Bank's (ECB) June macroeconomic projections to incorporate higher market rate assumptions and exclude May Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP) data.
Kristian Nummelin at Nordea expects the European Central Bank to hike rates next week as elevated inflation and strong core momentum keep price pressures in focus. Markets are pricing a similar outcome.
TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects the ECB to raise the deposit rate to 2.25% in response to persistently high energy prices.
Nomura’s Andrzej Szczepaniak and team expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to begin a recalibration phase at the 11 June meeting, with a 25bp hike in the depo rate to 2.25%.
Headlines:Another episode of the boy who cried wolf set to air later today?Explosion halts crude loading at Oman's Mina al Fahal in conflict escalationAmerica still refuses Iran's request to unfreeze the frozen funds - Al ArabiyaSemiconductors continue to struggle ahead of the Wall Street openWhat is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP?What are analysts expecting from the US jobs report later today?How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's event?Euro area economic gr...
Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 71 bps (71% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 64 bps (98% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 43 bps (81% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoE: 41 bps (92% probability of no change at the next meeting)RBA: 23 bps (93% probability of no change at the next meeting)Fed: 16 bps (92% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 15 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting)SNB: 13 bps (99% probability of no change a...
The Euro (EUR) is going through a solid recovery against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, reaching levels a few pips shy of 1.1650 at the time of writing.
Q1 final GDP -0.2% vs +0.1% q/q second estimatePrior +0.2%That's not a good look with the revision putting the overall euro area growth in the first quarter into negative territory. That marks a contraction to start the year with another set to follow this quarter amid the fallout from the Middle East conflict.A technical recession looms but it comes with a bit of a caveat. The first quarter estimate here is heavily influenced by a sharp drop in Ireland's GDP. While only accounting for a small w...
EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than a couple of low tier releases like the final Eurozone Q1 GDP report and Italian Retail Sales. The data is not going to change anything for the ECB, so the market reaction will likely be muted. AMERICAN SESSIONIn the American session, we have the Canadian Employment report and the US NFP. The Canadian data is expected to show 10K jobs added in May vs -17.7K in April, and the Unemployment Rate to remain unchanged ...
EUR/JPY moves little after posting modest gains in the previous day, trading around 185.80 during the Asian hours on Friday. The EUR/JPY cross is holding a constructive bullish bias as it remains above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Explosion halts crude loading at Oman's Mina al Fahal in conflict escalationPBOC resumes injections after two-day pause that forced banks to deploy idle cashNasdaq analysis today shows market started selling quite hard for this time of dayRBA's Hauser due to speak, hawkish tilt expected after Harper's inflation warningPBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8157 (vs. estimate at 6.7735)South Korean markets hammered. KOSPI off 6%, won at a 17 year low vs. USDJapan renews yen intervention...
Japan's finance minister renewed an intervention warning as the yen tested 160 per dollar, while a record drop in May foreign reserves suggests Tokyo may already have acted again. Summary: The following draws on statements from Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama, Prime Minister Takaichi, and Japanese Finance Ministry data released on June 4-5:Finance Minister Katayama told parliament Japan will respond appropriately at any time on foreign exchange and reserves the right to take decisive ...
Japan's real wages rose 1.9% year-on-year in April, a fourth consecutive gain, while household spending beat forecasts, boosting the case for a BOJ rate hike at its June 15-16 meeting. Summary: The following data were released by the Japanese government on June 5Household spending, April: -0.5% year-on-year, expected -1.5%, prior -2.9%; month-on-month +1.6%, expected +0.8%, prior -1.3%Average cash earnings (total nominal wages), April: +3.5% year-on-year, the fastest growth since December 2024 a...
Nordea economists Jan von Gerich and Tuuli Koivu expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates by 25bp at the June meeting and signal a hawkish stance without firm pre-commitments.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is EUR/JPY moving today?
EUR/JPY movements are primarily driven by interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ), economic data releases from the Eurozone and Japanese economies (CPI, GDP, employment), and geopolitical events. Check our live news feed above for today's specific drivers.
How often is EUR/JPY news updated?
Our news feed is automatically updated every 15 minutes from trusted sources including Reuters, Bloomberg, and major forex news providers. Breaking rate alerts are generated instantly when significant moves (>0.5%) are detected.
What affects the EUR/JPY exchange rate?
Key factors include European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate policies, economic data releases (Eurozone CPI, ECB interest rate decisions, GDP growth; Japanese CPI, BoJ monetary policy, Tankan survey, GDP), political events, trade balances, and market sentiment. Major announcements from ECB President and Governing Council members and BoJ Governor and Policy Board members often trigger significant moves.